Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000219 0.000245 0.000273 0.000305 0.000340 0.000379 0.000424
2025-01-19 0.000185 0.000220 0.000261 0.000311 0.000370 0.000438 0.000523
2025-01-26 0.000156 0.000197 0.000246 0.000309 0.000389 0.000486 0.000613
2025-02-02 0.000142 0.000188 0.000246 0.000324 0.000429 0.000562 0.000746
2025-02-09 0.000127 0.000175 0.000239 0.000330 0.000456 0.000624 0.000866
2025-02-16 0.000114 0.000164 0.000233 0.000334 0.000480 0.000683 0.000987
2025-02-23 0.000102 0.000153 0.000224 0.000334 0.000497 0.000733 0.001101
2025-03-02 0.000091 0.000140 0.000213 0.000328 0.000505 0.000770 0.001197
2025-03-09 0.000083 0.000131 0.000205 0.000326 0.000519 0.000815 0.001309
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.000124 0.000200 0.000326 0.000535 0.000865 0.001432
2025-03-23 0.000070 0.000118 0.000195 0.000328 0.000553 0.000919 0.001566
2025-03-30 0.000064 0.000112 0.000189 0.000326 0.000565 0.000964 0.001689
2025-04-06 0.000059 0.000106 0.000184 0.000327 0.000581 0.001020 0.001840
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000101 0.000180 0.000329 0.000602 0.001086 0.002014
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000095 0.000173 0.000325 0.000611 0.001130 0.002155
2025-04-27 0.000049 0.000094 0.000177 0.000340 0.000655 0.001244 0.002437
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000091 0.000175 0.000345 0.000682 0.001327 0.002669
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000088 0.000173 0.000349 0.000706 0.001407 0.002901
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000084 0.000169 0.000348 0.000722 0.001472 0.003108
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000079 0.000162 0.000342 0.000725 0.001510 0.003265
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000075 0.000157 0.000340 0.000737 0.001569 0.003470
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000072 0.000154 0.000340 0.000753 0.001638 0.003705
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000069 0.000152 0.000342 0.000772 0.001715 0.003964